For Those Who Think This is Still a Race...

From an AP Analysis of the delegate math:

Overall, Obama's delegate lead is 1,645-1,507. That masks an even larger advantage among those won in primaries and caucuses. There, his advantage is 1,414-1,250.

An additional 566 are at stake in the remaining contests in eight states, Guam and Puerto Rico before the primary season ends on June 3.

If Obama captures 53 percent of them, which is the share he has gained in contests to date, he would close out the primary season with at least 1,945 delegates, only 80 less than the total needed to clinch the nomination. If he and Clinton split the 566 evenly, he would still be within 100 of the number needed.

Clinton needs to win a forbidding 65 percent of the delegates in the remaining primaries to draw even with Obama in pledged delegates. It's a share she has achieved only once so far, in Arkansas, where her husband was governor for more than a decade.

Given the unyielding delegate math, Clinton has relied for weeks on forbearance from party leaders to sustain her challenge. And they are growing restless, eager for the epic nomination battle to end so Democrats can unify for the fall campaign against John McCain and the Republicans.

In short, the nomination is, effectively, over. She won't receive anything close to 65% of the votes in remaining primaries. In fact, she won't even win most of them. Pennsylvania will be tighter than people think, less than 6 points. Plus, the way the delegate math works in PA, it's possible for him to lose by 2-3 points and still end up with a few more delegates. The most she can hope for, honestly, is a net gain of about 8-10 delegates. Then, it's off to Indiana and North Carolina. Indiana is close, but she's running out of money, so he could win that one. He will win North Carolina, and could conceivably take it by more than 10 points, and erase any gains she makes in PA. She could win West Virginia, but the margin will be less than 10 points, and more likely 5- points. She could win Kentucky, but probably won't win Oregon. He will probably win Montana, and will likely win South Dakota.

In other words, the best way to get a woman in the White House in the near future would be to impeach Bush and Cheney; whattaya say?